Tag: Positivity

 

In Alabama, positivity rate for coronavirus tests is rising: Week in review

In Alabama, the positivity rate for coronavirus tests reached 16.9 percent as of Thursday – the highest it’s been since mid-September.

But it’s hard to compare that rate over time, because data backlogs and changes in reporting here have made comparisons difficult. State data is messy and getting messier.

On Sept. 1, for instance, the state changed the way it reports tests and removed about 27,000 tests from the logs. And this week, roughly 2,500 new probable cases in Mobile weren’t accompanied by a similar increase in tests.

The data issues can make it difficult to monitor progress in Alabama. For example, this week the Alabama Department of Public Health reported more than 10,000 coronavirus cases in the state, but that includes those 2,500 from a backlog at a local lab in Mobile County. Those cases were from some time between June and October 18. And maybe some came from other counties near Mobile.

Prior to the large influx on Friday from that backlog, the state was seeing a rise in new cases. The 7-day average for total new virus cases reached 1,128 in Alabama on Thursday. That’s the highest it’s been since Sept. 5.

[Can’t see the chart? Click here.]

But the increase in new cases hasn’t been accompanied by an equal increase in tests. Between Oct. 1 and Oct. 22, the 7-day average for new cases has gone up by about five percent. Over the same span, the 7-day average for daily tests has done down by 23 percent.

The World Health Organization in May suggested countries should have positivity rates lower than 5 percent for at least 14 days before reopening.

Within Alabama, from county to county, positivity rates are all over the map.

[Can’t see the map? Click here.]

As of Thursday, Lamar County in northwest Alabama had the highest rate in the state at 45 percent. In the week leading up to Thursday, 37 cases were reported in Lamar County, and just 83 tests.

DeKalb County, in northeast Alabama, had a similar positivity rate with nearly 10 times the test numbers. More than 42 percent of the 720 tests performed there over that span came back positive.

No Alabama counties were below 5 percent positivity rate as of Thursday.

[Can’t see the chart? Click here.]

Probable cases primarily include those found through antigen testing, and also those without any confirmed test but where the person has symptoms and has been in close contact with a confirmed case. The large increase in probables, along with confirmed cases, made this week’s total the highest since early August.

But that’s probably not a fair representation. Clicking on the ‘confirmed cases’ tab on the chart above controls for backlogs of probable cases and better shows the rise over recent weeks.

Confirmed cases are those with a positive molecular test, which takes longer but is considered more accurate. And though confirmed cases are slightly up, reported deaths are down significantly this week. The state reported 73 total virus deaths this

Coronavirus Positivity Rises To 9.4 Percent In Region 8

WHEATON, IL — The coronavirus positivity rate in Region 8, made up of Kane and DuPage counties, this week reached its highest level since state public health officials began publishing the data.

In the third week of October, positivity rates continued rising across all but one of the state’s 11 COVID-19 resurgence mitigation regions. As of Friday, four of the regions are subject to state-ordered mitigation measures restricting indoor dining and other activities, including DuPage, Kane, Kankakee and Will counties.

In Region 8 of Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s mitigation plan, the positivity rate reached 9.4 percent Tuesday, the most recent day where the seven-day rolling average is available from the Illinois Department of Public Health. The two-county region had seen nine days of increases in the previous 10.

The average number of new daily hospitalizations in the region also continued to rise. The rounded, rolling seven-day average of admissions to hospitals with “COVID-like illnesses,” or CLI, rose to 23 people a day Tuesday, up from 18 a week earlier — and twice the region’s hospitalization rate from a month earlier.

Meanwhile, the number of counties considered to be at a warning level for COVID-19, meaning two or more county-level risk indicators show an increasing risk of the virus’ spread.

Half Illinois counties are now at the “orange” warning level: Adams, Bond, Boone, Carroll, Cass, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, DeKalb, Douglas, Edwards, Fayette, Ford, Franklin, Gallatin, Greene, Hamilton, Henderson, Jersey, Jo Daviess, Johnson, Kane, Kendall, Knox, LaSalle, Lee, Macon, Macoupin, McDonough, McHenry, Mercer, Morgan, Moultrie, Ogle, Perry, Pike, Pulaski, Rock Island, Saline, Shelby, Stephenson, Union, Vermilion, Wabash, Warren, Wayne, Whiteside, Will, Williamson and Winnebago.

RELATED: Coronavirus Mitigations In Region 8 Start Friday

(Illinois Department of Public Health)
(Illinois Department of Public Health)

Public health officials said some businesses continue to disregard social distancing and face covering requirements, noting in a statement that “mayors, local law enforcement, state’s attorneys, and other community leaders can be influential in ensuring citizens and businesses follow best practices.”

On Friday, the state public health agency reported and 3,874 new confirmed cases of the coronavirus, including 31 deaths.

As of Thursday night, there were 2,498 people in Illinois reported to be hospitalized with COVID-19, up by 482 from a week earlier and 38 percent more people than were hospitalized with the virus two weeks ago.

Of those currently in the state’s hospitals, there were 511 patients in intensive care units, 111 more people in the ICU than a week earlier. There were 197 COVID-19 patients on ventilators, 46 more than a week earlier.

Less than 83,000 tests were reported in the previous 24 hours. The statewide preliminary seven-day average positivity rate, as a percentage of total tests, is 5.6 percent for the week ending Thursday, up by 0.5 percentage points from a week earlier.

Illinois Coronavirus Update Oct. 23: More Than Half Of Illinois Counties Now At ‘Warning Level’ — Don’t miss updates about precautions in the Chicago area as they are announced — Sign up for Patch news alerts and

Chicago Coronavirus Positivity Rises 1.6 Points In A Week To 7%

CHICAGO — The coronavirus positivity rate in Chicago and the average number of new daily hospitalizations of people with coronavirus symptoms in the symptom each reached their highest levels since June this week.

In the third week of October, positivity rates continued rising across all but one of the state’s 11 COVID-19 resurgence mitigation regions. As of Friday, four of the regions are subject to state-ordered mitigation measures restricting indoor dining and other activities, including DuPage, Kane, Kankakee and Will counties.

In Chicago, Region 11 in Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s mitigation plan, the positivity rate reached 7 percent Tuesday, the most recent day where the seven-day rolling average is available from the Illinois Department of Public Health. The city had seen eight days of increases out of the previous 10.

If a region’s positivity rate reaches a threshold of 8 percent and remains there for three days, state public health officials order the imposition of additional mitigation measures.

Meanwhile, the average number of new daily hospitalizations Chicago continued to rise. The rounded, rolling seven-day average of admissions to hospitals with “COVID-like illnesses,” or CLI, rose to 36 people a day Tuesday, up from 28 a week earlier — nearly twice the city’s hospitalization rate a month earlier.

Meanwhile, the number of counties considered to be at a warning level for COVID-19, meaning two or more county-level risk indicators show an increasing risk of the virus’ spread.

Half Illinois counties are now at the “orange” warning level: Adams, Bond, Boone, Carroll, Cass, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, DeKalb, Douglas, Edwards, Fayette, Ford, Franklin, Gallatin, Greene, Hamilton, Henderson, Jersey, Jo Daviess, Johnson, Kane, Kendall, Knox, LaSalle, Lee, Macon, Macoupin, McDonough, McHenry, Mercer, Morgan, Moultrie, Ogle, Perry, Pike, Pulaski, Rock Island, Saline, Shelby, Stephenson, Union, Vermilion, Wabash, Warren, Wayne, Whiteside, Will, Williamson and Winnebago.

(Illinois Department of Public Health)
(Illinois Department of Public Health)

Public health officials said some businesses continue to disregard social distancing and face covering requirements, noting in a statement that “mayors, local law enforcement, state’s attorneys, and other community leaders can be influential in ensuring citizens and businesses follow best practices.”

On Friday, the state public health agency reported and 3,874 new confirmed cases of the coronavirus, including 31 deaths.

As of Thursday night, there were 2,498 people in Illinois reported to be hospitalized with COVID-19, up by 482 from a week earlier and 38 percent more people than were hospitalized with the virus two weeks ago.

Of those currently in the state’s hospitals, there were 511 patients in intensive care units, 111 more people in the ICU than a week earlier. There were 197 COVID-19 patients on ventilators, 46 more than a week earlier.

Less than 83,000 tests were reported in the previous 24 hours. The statewide preliminary seven-day average positivity rate, as a percentage of total tests, is 5.6 percent for the week ending Thursday, up by 0.5 percentage points from a week earlier.

Illinois Coronavirus Update Oct. 23: More Than Half Of Illinois Counties Now At ‘Warning Level’ — Don’t miss

One More Death In Kendall Co.; Positivity Rate Still Rising

KENDALL COUNTY, IL — Coronavirus cases in Kendall County continue to rise as the state moves in the wrong direction, with stricter mitigations imposed in several regions. As of Tuesday, the county has 2,540 cases with 2,038 in recovery and 28 deaths, according to the Kendall County Health Department.

The most recent death reported on Oct. 17 comes after the one reported on Oct. 12 of a man in his 60s, the health department said. Officials also said it is not aware of the victim having any underlying health complexities. This was the first death reported since Sept. 3.

The county was also showing promising coronavirus positivity rate, but as of Friday, it is back at 6.5 percent, the highest it has been since Aug. 28. In terms of the total number of weekly cases per 100,000 people, it is now reporting 107 cases, the highest-ever since June 14, according to Illinois Department of Public Health data. The target for this metric is 50 or lower.

Region 2 — Kendall County’s reopening region — is also seeing 7 consecutive days of positivity increase and could have restrictions imposed Gov. J.B. Pritzker like Region 7 and 8 had on Tuesday. This would mean complete suspension of indoor dining and drinking.

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This article originally appeared on the Oswego Patch

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Restrictions Near As Positivity Rate Tops 8% In Kane-DuPage

KANE COUNTY, IL — Coronavirus statistics in Region 8 are trending toward new restrictions after a surge of new cases over the past few weeks, according to public health data.

The positivity rate in Region 8 — made up of Kane and DuPage counties — hit 8.4 percent Sunday and climbed to 8.5 percent Monday, according to IDPH statistics. That means the county could trigger new restrictions if its positivity rate remains above 8 percent Tuesday.

The positivity rate in Region 8 was just 4.8 percent two weeks ago.

Teens Shot, Robbed Man During Drug Deal In Aurora: Police

Officials from the Illinois Department of Public Health are ready to impose coronavirus restrictions if a region’s positivity rate tops 8 percent for three days in a row. New restrictions could also be imposed if the positivity rate grows alongside increases in hospitalizations and ICU admissions.

Illinois Coronavirus Update Oct. 19 — Don’t miss updates in Kane County as they are announced — Sign up for Patch news alerts and newsletters.

Region 8 has reported positivity-rate increases each of the past 10 days, and five daily increases in hospital admissions over the same period. The region remains well above the state’s thresholds for medical/surgical beds and ICU beds, public health data shows.

Kane County Back On Watch List As Positivity Rate Tops 9%

The IDPH placed Kane County back on its watch list for new restrictions Friday after the county’s positivity rate hit 9.1 percent. Kane County’s positivity rate rose to 10.9 percent by Monday, the highest it’s ever been, according to public health data.

DuPage County’s positivity rate is 7.2 percent, as of Monday, according to the state’s data.

Teens Shot, Robbed Man During Drug Deal In Aurora: Police

Kane County’s seven-day rolling average of daily new cases hit 158.8 cases Sunday after more than 400 new cases over the weekend. That’s nearly twice as high as that measure had been at any point in the previous four months.

Kane County recorded 189 new cases Saturday, the most in a single day since May 21, public health data shows.

REGIONAL NEWS:

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Spike In Coronavirus Positivity Rate

KENDALL COUNTY, IL — As coronavirus numbers in the state continue to move in the wrong direction, Illinois’ North Central region is also seeing a spike in its positivity rate. The Illinois Department of Public Health reports that the region currently has a positivity rate of 6.9 percent, which has increased from 5.2 percent in the past 10 days.

As of Monday, Region 2 is seeing seven consecutive days of positivity increase, putting the region at a warning level for this metric. If this continues, the region could see new mitigations like the ones that were imposed on the Will-Kankakee region.

Any region that sustains an 8 percent positivity rate for three days in a row or sees an increase in positivity rates and simultaneous decrease in hospital capacity will need to implement additional community mitigation interventions, the IDPH website states.

As of Saturday, there are a total of 2,485 positive COVID-19 cases in Kendall County with 1,941 in recovery and 28 deaths, the Kendall County Health Department reports. The county has a positivity rate of 6.5 percent as of Friday. There are 107 new cases per 100,000 people in Kendall County and this puts the county at a warning level for this metric. The target is 50 or less.

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Will-Kankakee Could See Mitigations Again As Positivity Spikes

WILL COUNTY, IL — As coronavirus numbers in the state continue to move in the wrong direction, the Will-Kankakee region could also once again see new restrictions. As of Saturday, Region 7 is showing a spike in positivity rate and hospitalization, with a decrease in the availability of medical/surgical and ICU beds.

According to the Illinois Department of Public Health website, the region has a positivity rate of 7.3 percent, which is a significant increase from Thursday’s 6.6 percent. The region is also seeing 8 consecutive days of positivity increase, putting it in the warning level for this metric.

Region 7 is also at a warning level for the increase in hospitalization and as of Saturday, the numbers have increased for 7 consecutive days. There are currently 25 percent medical and 26 percent surgical beds available. This has decreased as well and will reach warning levels if the numbers fall below 20 percent.

Any region that sustains an 8 percent positivity rate for three days in a row or sees an increase in positivity rates and simultaneous decrease in hospital capacity will need to implement additional community mitigation interventions, the IDPH website states.

Five weeks after being dropped from the IDPH’s list of state counties at the warning level, and four weeks after additional mitigations were dropped for Region 7, Will County again finds itself listed as one of Illinois’ “warning level” counties.

Will County Health Department Executive Director Sue Olenek said in a release the top priority right now is for Will County residents to follow all COVID-19 precautions, with the immediate goal being no return of additional restrictions.

Counties appear on the IDPH Warning Level list when they have hit two of a variety of factors showing signs of increased Coronavirus activity. One is a rate of new COVID-19 cases that is over 50 per 100,000 residents. For Will County, the week of Oct. 4-10 showed 133 new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents (the previous week’s level was 87). The second factor Will County hit was a substantial increase in the amount of COVID-19 deaths, a release from the health department states.

Will County had 13 deaths for the week of Oct. 4-10, after a very slow period of COVID-19 deaths in late September.

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This article originally appeared on the Plainfield Patch

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